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Tyler Wilson has a chance to outperform the
competition in 2013
Josh
Inglis
Saturday May
18, 2018
The 2013
QB draft class is a sad group of individuals. It’s so sad that Jacksonville
Jaguars quarterback coach Frank Scelfo has said that Blaine Gabbert would be
the first quarterback chosen if he were in the draft this year.
There
might not be a week one starter in the whole lot. If you expected to find your franchise
quarterback in this year’s group then you didn’t do your homework.
Just
because there is no top end talent like RG3 or Andrew Luck, doesn’t mean that
there aren’t players on this list that can’t improve your fake teams. There might even be one or two in the group
that make a significant fantasy impact down the road. So without further adieu I present my 2013 QB
Rookie Rankings.
*the numbers inside the parenthesis represent
the players current ADP (Average Draft Position)
(rookie draft ADP/
Dynasty Start Up ADP/ Redraft ADP)
Quarterbacks
TIER 1
1. EJ
Manuel BUF (20/31/174)
There’s a
lot to like about EJ in Buffalo. He has a new coach who can tailor an offensive
system around the strengths of his players (hello option?), the support of his
GM to start in week 1, CJ spiller, 3 time 1000 yard receiver Stevie Johnson and
a plethora of young receiving talent that includes USC standout Robert Woods.
Before we get ahead of ourselves let’s remember that this man is a serious
project and might be watching Kevin Kolb run the offense come September. New coach Doug Marrone has already pointed
out that Manuel needs to work on his footwork and mechanics. We haven’t even seen him in a collapsing
pocket yet.
On the
plus side I like the fact that he is starting to build chemistry with his
fellow rookie receivers Woods, Goodwin and Rogers at rookie camp. This receiving core could surprise people
this year and looking ahead, Manuel might have the ability to throw to two 1000
yard receivers in the same year.
He was
ranked the 6th quarterback by Scouts Inc before the draft. The Bills
cited his deep accuracy (49.2 percent of passes over 20 yards in 2012) and his
ability to make plays with his arm while on the run (55.8 percent completion
while on the move in 2013) as reasons for taking the former Seminole with the
16th overall pick. They believe that he can be their franchise
quarterback.
I like
him as a QB 3 with great upside or a low end QB 2 in dynasty formats and will
let someone else take him in a redraft.
This is not 2012 people. Don’t over value new quarterbacks because of
the ridiculousness that happened last year (RG3, Luck, Wilson and Tannehill).
If he
falls to you late in your rookie draft take a shot on him and maybe this year
or next year, you can swap him for a higher pick or a better starter. I like him in the third round of a rookie draft.
2. Geno
Smith NYJ (22/34/180)
On paper
Smith looks like a bargain at 39th overall.
2012
stats
71.2
completion percentage,
42:6
TD:INT ratio
Led the
nation in passing TDs with 42
Was
sacked only 19 times in 13 games
So why
wasn’t Geno selected earlier? Because apparently, “he fails to realize he
doesn’t know everything”
When I
think of Geno I think of Willie Beaman from Any Given Sunday.
My name
is Geno…………..Smith ya
I keep
the ladies ………in bliss ya
And all
my fans……………big ups ya
You gunna
defeat me?...........Mark Sanchez
With
reports out that describe Smith as being a “Diva”, “a spoiled pampered brat”
and having trouble “in working through adversity” I say good luck to you in New
York. This one could end badly. How Tim
Tebow made it out of New York alive is beyond me. That media is relentless.
It’s as
simple as winning though. If Mark
Sanchez is released and the starting gig is handed to Geno, no one is going to
care about his attitude if he is winning ball games. He will have every chance
to show he deserved to be the 2nd quarterback taken in the draft.
He has
the most talent out of the 2013 QB class and could put up decent fantasy
production, but looking at his supporting cast (Ivory, Holmes, Hill, Kerley)
his upside is limited. He will not be a
top 10 quarterback this year and maybe never.
Also, like Manuel, feel free to draft him with a future plan to turn him
into something more than you originally invested.
TIER 2
3. Tyler Wilson OAK (46/67/230)
This is
one of my favorite quarterbacks in the draft.
I’m more in love with his opportunity and toughness than his above
average skill set. Coaches love tough
quarterbacks and Wilson was the toughest in the draft. If you can’t stand in the pocket or move
around and step up, you are not going to make it in the NFL (hello Blaine
Gabbert). Reports are out that he has looked good at minicamp. Wilson has a
chance to unseat Matt Flynn and start in week 1.
Anytime
you hear the word gunslinger associated with a quarterback, there are obvious
fantasy rewards to be had. Wilson may never be a top 8 QB, but he could
surprise many this year and produce fantasy numbers similar to Ben
Roethlisberger or Carson Palmer in 2012.
He has enough weapons in Oak to put up 25 TD seasons and maybe go for
3800 plus yards. It may not happen this year, but sometime in the near future
is a possibility. Keep an eye on Tyler Wilson during OTAs and the preseason.
4. Zac Dysert DEN (58/181/NA)
A top 3
quarterback in some circles, Dysert fell all the way to the 234th
pick in this year’s draft. The former ReHawk has a big arm and stands firm in
the pocket. He could push for number 2 duties behind Peyton Manning if he can
pass second year man Brock Osweiler (also someone to watch). The backup spot
behind an aging and brittle quarterback and on a team as loaded offensively as
the Broncos are exciting tangibles.
Dysert is a good dynasty draft pick because he realistically has a
chance to lead a top 3 offense. Manning
owners need to invest and also people with quarterback youth and depth problems
should jump on board. It may take a year
or two but the return on Dysert could be very profitable.
5. Mike Glennon TB (54/73/NA)
Glennon
stands at 6’7’’and has a powerful arm that is also accurate. Ron Jaworski says he is “built like an oak
tree”. It’s also no secret that Tampa
Bay is not very high on Josh Freeman and Dan Orlovsky (both only have one year
left on their contracts). It’s somewhat possible that Glennon could be starting
for the Bucs in 2014.
Doug
Martin, Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams give the 73rd overall pick
lots of potent weapons to choose from. The
man who filled Russell Wilson’s shoes at North Carolina State is worth holding
onto for a year because he might be starting in week 1 in 2014. Glennon is a smart pick late in rookie drafts
and dynasty start up drafts and has a very similar situation to Zach Dysert in
Denver. Use the wait and see approach
here as the return could be exponential. Think Russell Wilson.
6. Matt Barkley PHI (37/52/209)
When NFL
guru Greg Cosell says that Mark Sanchez was a better prospect coming out of USC
than Barkley, immediately his career might be in trouble. Barkley has great grades on accuracy,
intelligence and leadership but has a girl’s arm when it comes to throwing deep
balls or passes outside the numbers. Guys who can’t throw deep in the NFL
usually don’t project well statistically but can still win ball games. Just ask Andy Dalton. Luckily for him however,
Chip Kelly’s offense calls for short quick accurate passes and with Michael
Vick holding the ball for too long, the USC grad might get a shot in the new
system down the road.
This guy
is not going to lead you to any fantasy championships but you might be able to
trade him to a Michael Vick owner.
TIER 3
7. Ryan Nassib NYG (56/89/208)
“Borderline
starting talent”, comparisons to Andy Dalton and mediocre arm strength mean one
thing in the fantasy world, irrelevance. If his own College coach didn’t want
to take him neither should you. If you
feel that Eli Manning needs a hand cuff, by all means take the man. I prefer Wilson.
8. Tyler Bray KCC (65/79/NA)
Undrafted
due to maturity problems, Bray projects as a developmental third quarterback on
the Chiefs. Bray even went undrafted in
the Bray Family Football Dynasty League.
This
quarterback draft class is getting depressing and we are still not at the
bottom.
9. Landry Jones PIT (69/80/NA)
Could see time if Ben goes down but does
not have the talent to push for the starting position. He is only a Big Ben hand cuff at best. Not even
tradable and shouldn’t be drafted even in 53 man roster leagues.
TIER 4
10. Matt Scott JAC(72/67/NA)
Undrafted in the NFL and should be
undrafted in all formats of Fantasy Football, unless you are trying to assemble
the entire Jaguars offense. If that’s
the case, don’t forget to take back up FB and former ATL no. 3 quarterback Will
Ta’ufo’ou.
Josh Inglis is on
the wrong side of 30. He wishes he was 6 inches taller and had hair he could
comb. He writes and operates
backtobacksports.com. He currently lives in Taiwan.
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